FEB 01 - 15, 2004

VOL. 2 ISSUE 3

 

MOBILIZATION, ENTHUSIASM WILL DETERMINE IF KERRY DELIVERS KNOCKOUT BLOW OR IF THERE ARE TWO EQUAL FRONTRUNNERS ON TUESDAY EVENING

Clark Takes On "Republican Mean Machine"

by Betsy R. Vasquez

 

FEBRUARY 2, 2004 - This round of primaries is turning out to have much more of an open dynamic than the New Hampshire race.

There are seven races set to take place on Tuesday, and the outcome could be anything from an all out sweep by Kerry to a loss of lone frontrunner status.

One scenario has Senator Kerry winning all seven states, which is possible but doesn't seem all that likely.  It seems at the very least that Edwards has a solid shot in South Carolina.

However, as Edwards has admitted, South Carolina is do or die for him, so a loss there and he is gone.

As for General Wesley Clark, as many as four states are in play for him:  Oklahoma, New Mexico, Arizona, and North Dakota.

Notice that number:  4 out of 7 states.

While some people have pulled back in interest from following the primaries as the story being told is that there is just one man, Senator John Kerry, running away with the nomination, by all reports these four states are all Clark/Kerry battles which could realistically tip either way.  If Kerry some how pulls out wins in all four, the race could be all but done.  But if Clark were to take all four, or even three of four, he could easily win as many states as Kerry Tuesday evening, or even more with Edwards very possibly taking South Carolina, and catapult undeniably into equal frontrunner status with the Massachusetts Senator..

As Wes Clark's son Wes, Jr. told a New Mexico crowd on Friday, as reported by the Santa Fe New Mexican, "We need New Mexico big time...  If we win New Mexico, Arizona and Oklahoma, nobody will remember New Hampshire."

North Dakota, according to the Bismarck Tribune, is "hard to call" and Clark is among the favorites.  As many as 40 percent of North Dakotans remained undecided in a poll taken last week, and Kerry and Clark are the two who have a shot at this one.

In Arizona, Clark led just a few weeks ago.  Now Kerry appears to have the advantage, but there too it is still an open and fluid race.  The latest polls have the spread barely outside the margin of error.  However, the large number of undecideds mean it is clearly an open race.

As ABC News reports, "Kerry's focus Monday was on New Mexico and Arizona, completing a one-week blitz of the seven states currently in play... surveys around the country detect a huge group of undecided voters, clearly large enough to sway the outcome."

Clark will be campaigning in both states as well - even if ABC doesn't bother to mention it.

In New Mexico, according to Governor Richardson, much of the Latino vote, which makes up 55 percent of the likely primary voters, is still in play.  Again, Kerry and Clark are the two candidates fighting for the lead there, with Dean, the former frontrunner in the state, on the way down.

"Kerry has a lot of momentum," Richardson said in a television interview this week. "Clark is very popular here. Had he visited more, I think he'd be up in the polls."

A recent Albuquerque Journal poll has Kerry riding his momentum into the lead, but showing Clark moving into a tie with Dean for second and fully 27% of voters still undecided - and none of this takes into account the tens of thousands of absentee ballots already cast before the Iowa caucuses occurred.  About 50,000 people are expected to participate in the caucus, while almost 25,000 absentee ballots have already been returned. The largest number of these will likely go for Howard Dean and Wesley Clark, who were the two favorites back then while Kerry was barely a blip on the radar.

"I already voted for Gen. Wesley, Clark because I feel he's the most qualified to be our next president," one voter told the Albuquerque Tribune.

In addition, this poll chose to leave out a large number of voters, including only voters "who voted in the last two primary and general elections, according to voting records."  In other words, people who are voting for the first time, or even the second time this year, or even people who voted the last two times but not in the primaries, were not included.  They did this because there was a change in date for the primary this year from June to February, but that is a large group of people not to include.

In Oklahoma, Clark has a slight advantage over Kerry, and Edwards has inserted himself into the race there.

At this point, what these four races will come down to is whose supporters get out to the polls in the largest numbers, whose volunteers can win over the large number of undecided voters with last minute phone calls, and whose ads and last campaign stops kick the last bit of momentum their way.

For the Clark camp, it seems imperative they put their supporters on notice that Tuesday the possible fate of the election is directly in their hands.  Forget the media calling Kerry the frontrunner.  If the Clark people turn out to the polls in Oklahoma and Arizona and are passionate in the caucuses in New Mexico and North Dakota, they can propel their candidate into solid frontrunner status.

If, on the other hand, the push and enthusiasm are bigger from the Kerry camp, Clark could lose all of the races and be in dire straits.  The race is that dynamic and those four states truly that much of a tossup.

Missouri seems solidly Kerry country, as does Delaware.

Look at that again.  Only Missouri and Delaware seem to be locks for Kerry.  The other six he could lose all of.  Or, of course, win all of.  Kerry is in position in each of the seven races to pull of victories.

But truly Tuesday night we seem to have a window of opportunity, for General Clark in particular.  The best case scenario for Edwards seems to be wins in South Carolina and a surprise win in Oklahoma.  While the best case scenario for Clark is winning three or four out of the seven races.

The two biggest states are Missouri and Arizona.

In the meantime, the absolute media assault - much of it through simply ignoring his existence - continues.  As a typical example, today's Washington Post does stories on Kerry, Edwards, and even Dean - who is not in position to win anything on Tuesday.  Clark, who is in far better position than both Edwards and Dean, is entirely, again, ignored.

However, the Clark camp no longer is taking this without response.

At a rally in Oklahoma City this weekend, General Clark vowed to take on what he called, "The Republican Mean Machine," according to one supporter who attended the rally.  By this he meant, this supporter said, the right-wing domination of the media and the hatred this machine spews.

Labeling it "The Republican Mean Machine" was a very smart maneuver, as it makes it a battle of him versus the Republican Party rather than versus the media, an easier battle for people to understand.

And yet, Clark is clear that by "The Republican Mean Machine" he means not just the ultra-baised FOX News/talk radio Axis Of Bias, but also the rest of the media, which is no different at this point.  He in particular, according to this supporter, referred to MSNBC, saying that such networks were "trying to take him down," as the supporter put it.

This is the throwing down of the mantle that Clark had to commit if he was going to have any chance in this election.  By not just vowing to fight "a long hard" battle against against the media machine, but making clear he means the whole media - even supposed mainstream stations like MSNBC - the Clark camp sent forth the battle cry that, at the very least, makes clear he will not go down without a fight.  For Clark supporters, there has no been no better news this primary season.

Remember, the Zogby polls that MSNBC uses are the ones that were dubbed unworthy of use by both ABC and AP, as reported by the Washington Post, and, of course, by us last week.  Clark's reference to MSNBC as part of the Republican Mean Machine possibly refers to this - the absurd polls pushing Kerry over Clark all week long.  For instance, today's MSNBC/Zogby poll has Kerry leading Clark 36% to 24%, while other polls have the difference barely beyond the margin of error.

"Zogby International, does all kinds of controversial things to produce its headlines-grabbing tracking poll," the Post reported.

Among them, Zogby takes the results he gets - gotten by questionable methods to begin with - and simply alters them as he feels like.

"Zogby also adjusts his sample based on historic trends and his judgment of "what is happening on the ground" in a particular race, and it is this imposition of his own judgment that disturbs many pollsters.

"He will, for example, reduce the proportion of 18- to 24-year-olds in his sample of self-described likely voters if he suspects on the basis of past voting history and the "lay of the land" that a sample contains too many younger people. He also, on occasion, adjusts the religious composition of his sample if he suspects he has over or under-represented one faith. "

Nice little trick, huh?  People with credibility don't think so.

"Zogby is not a reputable pollster," said Warren Mitofsky, who is co-directing the media exit polls this year for the major television networks and the Associated Press," and one ABC expert called Zogby polls, "crack for the weak."

This primary season MSNBC has teamed up with Zogby and Reuters and has been putting Zogby's polls front and center.

The main thing to note about Zogby polls is that by many accounts he comes up with results that push his agenda - which happens to be the Bush/Limbaugh Republican agenda.  For example, as we detailed in this story, right before the New Hampshire primary he released a poll that claimed Dean had gotten within 3 points of Kerry even though, as we reported, he clearly knew this was not the case.  The idea was to give Dean a sense a momentum, and so to push him higher in the polls so that he was not wiped out entirely and so Clark didn't have a shot at second place.

It has been one of many things that has driven Clark supporters crazy, to have to sit and watch polls that have been called disreputable nonsense and see virtually the entire media report his results above all others.  Now, Clark has made clear he will not be putting up with this game any longer.  And, according to the account we were given, he made the RMM comments directly in front of a rolling FOX News camera.

In any case, with one day of campaigning left, the simple reality is that it is up to the people on the ground.  The battle is wide open.  Any event over the next day could shift the balance.  Most importantly, the Clark camp needs to make sure its supporters are not put off by a sense of doom driven by the media's anointment of Kerry.  If they realize that their man truly can vault to the top on Tuesday night, they might just be able to follow their leaders charge and stick one in the eye of the Republican Hate Machine that has been doing everything possible to drive Clark out of the race.

 



 

 

 

MAIN PAGE

 

ALL ISSUES

News

"Gen. Tommy Franks Says That If The United States Is Hit With A Weapon Of Mass Destruction That Inflicts Large Casualties, The Constitution Will Likely Be Discarded In Favor Of A Military Form Of Government."

Economy - New Gallup Poll And Labor Number Challenge Bush's Assessment Of Economy

The Biggest Issue No One Is Talking About - President Bush's Naive Foreign Policy Allows Putin To Play Him And Set The Stage For The Second Coming Of The USSR

Why I Want To Be A Republican

Even The Turkey Was Fake! Bird In Widely Used AP Photo Was Just A Photo-Op Prop

President Bush Bans Press Coverage Of Wesley Clark's Testimony Against Milosevic

Iraq Was Planned In 1998 - Four Years Before 9/11

Petition already signed by 2,200 Americans demanding the expulsion of U.S. House Majority Leader Tom DeLay presented to Congress ethics committee members - you can sign it on-line by Guest Writer Jackson Thoreau

Standing Up For True Conservatives - The Destruction By The Neo-Cons Of All That Was Held Dear By Conservatives Has A Growing Number Joining The Ranks Of Independents

Bush Successfully Shifts Media Attention With Bogus Story Yet Again

No Photo Opportunity Left Behind - President Bush brings a few hand-picked reporters with him to Baghdad and has them quote a soldier as saying, "He's got to win in '04

Media Under Assault - President Bush Issues 10 "Ground Rules" For Covering The President's Visit To FT

Rush Limbaugh Busted Red-Handed! - He Runs Numbers About Tax Cuts For The Rich, But Even The Numbers Show How Stupid His Argument Is

UPDATE! - We Now Have The Full Story About The Woman Who Filed A Sexual Assault Lawsuit Against President Bush Last Year And Was Just Found Dead Of Gunshot Wound To Head - by Guest Writer Jackson Thoreau

I Mean, Goddamn It! How Can We Satirize These People If They Keep Satirizing Themselves?

The Enron-One-Two Run By Schwarzenegger In Just His First Few Hours In Office

Al Gore: 9/11 Could Have - And Should Have - Been Prevented

The Moderate Independent Platform - What A Platform Should Be - Solutions, Not Argument Points And Money Talk

This Quarter's Economic Disaster Touted As "Record Growth"

Wesley Clark, Jr.: "President Bush Has The 'Anti-Midas' Touch"

Absolutely No Decency Or Sense Of Morals

The Bush Administration's Actions Directly Parallel A Hostile Corporate Takeover

Let's Talk About How Friggin Stupid The Democratic Candidates Are For Debating On Fox News

A New Era Of Never Taking Responsibility

What Rumsfeld Really Thinks: "The US Is Putting Relatively Little Effort Into A Long-range Plan"

President Bush "Groped Repeatedly" By Schwarzenegger At California Meeting

"Joe Millionaire" To Be Season Long Campaign Commercial For President Bush

Case Closed: The Curse Is Not The Cause - Boston Exactly Follows The Cubs Lead And Lets Loser Thinking Send Them Home

Cubs Need A Ball Check

Absurdity Taken So Far It Has Become Assininity

Five Lies That Were Definitively Debunked By The California Recall Election

The Inside Scoop On The Most Powerful Man In Cyberspace

Bush Shows Himself To Be A Wimp After All

"Thank God Bush Was President on 9/11, Not Al Gore"

Getting The Left And Middle Right

Eight Things Democrats and Republicans Need To Change

British press reports Schwarzenegger’s groping and affair with former Little House on the Prairie actress; When will U.S. media do so? A column by guest writer Jackson Thoreau

Right-Wing Installs Another Puppet

The Moderate Independent To Sue President Bush

President Bush Takes Cowardice To A New Level

"Let Me Try To Confuse You Into Thinking This Has Anything To Do With The War On Terror." - A Simple Transcript Of The President's Recent Speech On Iraq

The Republicans' Choice For California's Next Governor

"President Eisenhower Must Be Speaking Out In His Grave About The Military Industrial Complex That He Warned About"

Gray Davis Changes Strategy

If Texas Wasn't A State, Would We Be Better Off?

Gray Davis Uses UCLA Speech To Give The Moderate Independent Free Advertising

California Recall Update: Strategies Of The Republicans And Democrats Go Into Action

Schwarzenegger To Be Replaced On Ballot By Howdy Doody

Yes, Arnold Is An N-Word-Using Racist, But Did He Also Harass Ronald Reagan's Daughter Patti?

David Kelly Had Said On Feb. 27 To Un Employee That If Iraq Was Invaded He Would, "Be Found Dead In The Woods."

Osama, Saddam Release Tape Of Britney Spears

Crisis Alert: Americans Accidentally Start Hating Americans

ENRON: Politics, Criminals, And Blame

Alpha Males Or Unintelligent, Big-Mouthed Morons?

Yes, Arnold Is An N-Word-Using Racist, But Did He Also Harrass Ronald Reagan's Daughter Patti?

Embattled California Governor Gray Davis Launches "Pre-Emptive" Strike On Cancun

At Last, Corporate Media Starts To Cover Schwarzenegger Story We Broke Months Ago

Davis Votes To Recall Himself

Schwarzenegger trails in latest poll - media that kissed his ass for weeks pretends poll doesn't exist

Blair And Friends Kick The Corpse Of Man Who Told BBC Lied About WMD's - Press, Of Course, Forgets About Story Within A Day

The Mission Of The Moderate Independent: Changing The, "They Both Suck, So I Don't Vote' Equation

John S. Ashton Is Back! Rewriting The Rewriting Of History - Mud To Throw Back In The Eyes Of Bush/Limbaughian Idiots

Counterpoint: Murder Or War Success?

Nation After Nation After Nation Is Joining Our "Coalition Of The Willing"

M/I Undercover:  Racism And Politics?  We Went Undercover To Find Out The Reality

Blair's Man Spits On The Corpse Of Man Who Told BBC Blair Lied

Dick Cheney Launches Attack On Peru

One policy that would improve all of our working conditions, and the cost to implement it is negligible

President Bush and Vice President Cheney Celebrate the 200th U.S. Death in Iraq With a Whirl-Wind of Fundraisers, Boasts of "Mission Accomplished"

Unraveling the fat trap: pt. 1 in a series two things you can do to lose weight - that will save you money as well

FBI Called In To Look For Missing Tax Cut Windfall

Battling Back: The Texas Three-Step

Governor Davis Launches Pre-Emptive Strike On Cancun

From The Mouths of Republicans:  The Truth Behind The California Recall

Notes From The California Recall - Democrats Begin to Fight Back

President Lands On Aircraft Carrier To Celebrate End Of Palestinian/Israeli Conflict

Man Who Told Parliament Blair Lied About WMD's Believed To Be Dead

Battling Back: The Texas Three-step

Republicans Decide To Do Away With Elections

Umm, It's Another One Of Yours, George

FBI Called In To Look For Missing Tax Cut Windfall

Let's Get Something Straight: This New Breed Of Republican Is Pathetic

Republicans Begin To Cry Like Babies, Swear Like Bullies

"Pyrrhic Victory" Officially Renamed "Bush Victory"

Democrats Court The "Asshole Vote"

Democrats, Shocked And Awed As Gingrich Calls Bush's Role In War An "Unrelenting Defeat", Hire Him As New Spokesman

Like Father, Like Son: Bush To "Destabilize" Iran, Thinking It Will Somehow Stabilize Region

Why People Don't Belong To Either Party

On The Serious Side: President Bush's Great Diplomatic Success

Bush, Rove Start Planning Who to Blame, Bomb When 9/11 of Global Warming Arrives

Bush Admits He's Been Asking "Wrong Jesus" What He Would Do

Bush Hires Saddam's Information Minister

Could Bush Really Be To Blame For Ruining The Economy?

Democrats Suffering From 'SARS'

Is President Bush Being Exploitive, Landing "Top Gun" Style?

Santorum, Lott Sent Back To "Two-Shouldered" School

Tax Rate That Existed Throughout Booming Nineties Somehow Blamed For Current Downturn

Bush Thanks Osama, Saddam for Salvaging Republican Party

Schwarzenegger: "I'll make Bush Seem Like Mother Teresa"

Carter Ecstatic, Finally Freed Of "Worst President Ever" Label

Dick, Bush, And Colin: Fifth Graders, World-Leaders Laugh Hysterically At leaders' Combined Name Humor

Back to Top

Editorial

Asia Hands Bush's Brother $2 Million And Lots Of Bush For Nothing But Being Bush, And More...

The Future Of The Moderate Independent - Can Anyone Say M/I TV?

A Labor Day Message

What Exactly Are You Complaining About?

Ooo, He Really Makes You Mad, Doesn't He?

Does Frequently Attacking Bush/Limbaugh Republicans Make M/I Biased?

Without That Tax Cut Money, They Couldn't Get Laid - The Differences Between Bushies And The Rest Of Us

Point: Is There Anything We Weren't Right About?

Feedback - Have Republicans found any fault with Bush's Iraq policy yet?

Did The President Lie About WMD's?

Letters

The Idea of a “Moderate Independent” News Source

Bush's Greatest Success To Date:  Not Getting UN Support for the Iraq War

Back to Top

Media Watch

Soros Donates A Lot Of Money? How About Murdoch Donating An Entire Network To The Bushies?

Tale Of Two Memos - The Story Of Two Leaked Memos, One From The Dems One From The GOP, Settle Once And For All Any Doubts That FOX News Is Anything Other Than Republican Puppet Station

CNN’S Christiane Amanpour Joins The Chorus Of Top 'Mainstream' Media People Saying They've Been Bullied To The Right By The Bushies

Talk Radio Host Rush Limbaugh Joins His Buddy Michael Savage Weiner In Getting Canned For Being Unacceptable Outside Of His Usual AM Radio Cave

The California Recall Debate

Larry Elder Proves Again To Be The Biggest Pussy On AM Talk Radio

ABC's Peter Jennings Admits ABC Has Been Bullied To The Right By The Bushies

Latest Press Report Ignores Poll, Pretends Arnold Is Still Frontrunner

Press-Trumpeted Lies About The 9th Circuit Court Of Appeals, And The Republican Plan To Take Redistricting To The Courts As Well

Savage Weiner Roasted Due To Anti-gay Rant

Rupert Mudoch On An Anti-American Rampage

Russian News Source 'Pravda' Sues Fox News For Stealing Its Format

AM Talk Host Savage Weiner Comes Out Of The Closet

CNBC'S Licklow And Kissass Invent 'Miscussion'

How To Still Sound Righteous When Caught Lying And Your Policies Are Found To Be Disastrous

Debunking The Media: ABC News' George Will Calls Vermont Communist

Debunking The Media: Man Kills 2 With Samurai Sword, Right Wing Rushes to Profit Off Of Corpses

Debunking The Media: The Confused, Psychotic Defining of "Conservative"

Debunking The Media: Texas Republicans Use Homeland Security Dept. To Try And Locate President Bush's Morals

Did Someone Actually Say "Liar"?

Right-Wing Commentators Distraught Murdoch Can't Buy Whole Internet

AM Radio Host Debate a Disaster

Australian-Owned Fox News, USA Today, NY Post Push "True American Agenda"

Axis of Murdoch Decides Who To Occupy Next

Back to Top
 

Arts/Entertainment

Ben Affleck Overheard Begging Matt Damon To Pinch His Ass In Public

Kelly Clarkson Ordered To Undergo Mental Evaluation

American Artists Vow To Continue Expressing Nothing Through Their Work

Dixie Chicks Treated With Southern Courtesy and Respect

Back to Top

Elections 2004

Rounding Up The Reactions - What Do The Democrats Have To Say About The Capture Of Saddam

Democrats Start To Get The Feel For Standing Up To The Media In Horribly Moderated Debate

Confirmation Of Clark's Rise Toward Front-Runner Status Comes Quickly

Inside The Campaigns - One Campaign Rising, One Holding Strong, One On The Way Out

Why People Love Howard Dean

Analysis: "How Dare They Be Angry That I Am A Liar Who Is Destroying The Nation!"

Democratic Presidential Hopefuls Disgrace Themselves, Hurt Their Election Changes By Bashing Clark For Being An Independent

Why Clark's Entry Into The Race Hurts Dean And Helps Kerry

Reassessing The Candidates

Cal Recall Update:  9th Circuit Court Of Appeals Recalls The Recall

Who Won Sept. 5 Dem. Debate?

Democrats Debate:  In Their Own Words, The Sept. 5 Debate

Reassessing The Candidates

A Presidential Study In Ignorance And A Warning For Those Who Would Vote For Arnold

Dean Vs. Bush, According To The Corporate-Owned-And-Operated Media

Make No Mistake, For One Party The 2004 Presidential Election Has Already Begun

Dean In Charge

Rating The Dems On The Issues

The Moderate Independent Rates The Democratic Hopefuls Based On How Moderate And Independent They Are

Back to Top

Historical

"A Great Nation Like Ours Will Never Fall!" A Collection Of Quotes From Pericles, Constantine, Napoleon, and Gorbachev

George Pissed About French Interference With War

The History Of The 1st Amendment

Back to Top
 

World

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao Confused By Total Lack Of Enemies

Fashion Critics Doubt Lula's New Look For Real

Northrop, Occidental To Sponsor Shakira's Columbian Tour

Powerful French, German, Russian Alliance Shows Strength By Letting US Occupy Iraq, Take Its Oil

Back to Top

Awards

Coming Out Of The Closet Award: Country Music's Integrity On Display

Back to Top

Polls

See Who MI Readers Picked For First Choice For President in 2004

See what your fellow M/I readers had to say about their loyalty or lack of it to the current face of the Republican Party

Rating the War on Terror

Thoughts On Speaking Out During a War

Has President Bush Kept His Promise To Be A Uniter, Not A Divider

Back to Top

 

 

1